Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.920960 2.009579 2.103528 2.211179 2.331945 2.464255 2.621617
2025-10-26 1.824636 1.938530 2.063707 2.213163 2.389126 2.592966 2.852192
2025-11-02 1.735563 1.861876 2.003937 2.178236 2.390410 2.646341 2.989055
2025-11-09 1.676842 1.813307 1.969760 2.166244 2.412572 2.720944 3.155010
2025-11-16 1.629204 1.773500 1.941613 2.157000 2.434125 2.793008 3.322923
2025-11-23 1.586680 1.736756 1.913980 2.144953 2.448968 2.854935 3.482164
2025-11-30 1.560661 1.717983 1.906382 2.156387 2.493635 2.959646 3.718860
2025-12-07 1.508460 1.664905 1.853485 2.105880 2.450419 2.934637 3.745368
2025-12-14 1.477436 1.636576 1.830146 2.092329 2.456282 2.980430 3.894494
2025-12-21 1.445585 1.605966 1.802477 2.071252 2.449586 3.005851 4.011337
2025-12-28 1.434869 1.601200 1.807313 2.093548 2.505475 3.131962 4.335994
2026-01-04 1.429524 1.602778 1.820059 2.126810 2.579191 3.294331 4.775639
2026-01-11 1.406952 1.582332 1.804018 2.120434 2.594877 3.365494 5.053439
2026-01-18 1.389438 1.567712 1.794942 2.123098 2.624121 3.462972 5.426389
2026-01-25 1.360195 1.537026 1.763295 2.091867 2.597859 3.457604 5.539161
2026-02-01 1.340285 1.517939 1.746585 2.081384 2.603773 3.511933 5.834632
2026-02-08 1.322350 1.500916 1.732053 2.073289 2.612753 3.572804 6.178027
2026-02-15 1.304401 1.483395 1.716248 2.062530 2.616450 3.623584 6.518008
2026-02-22 1.294965 1.476788 1.715059 2.073215 2.656281 3.751796 7.212754
2026-03-01 1.266354 1.444102 1.677008 2.027047 2.596753 3.666649 7.041743
2026-03-08 1.250408 1.428009 1.661618 2.014713 2.594836 3.704131 7.404708
2026-03-15 1.232749 1.409279 1.642104 1.995417 2.579776 3.711721 7.650057
2026-03-22 1.229106 1.409204 1.648566 2.015989 2.635606 3.883158 8.862180